Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has made 54.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.2% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should boost possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin has made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed in all games this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Jabari Smith Jr. is a hard one for field goals; when facing opposing starting PFs this year, they have successfully made a measly 4.7 field goals per game (3rd percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.
The matchup vs. Jabari Smith Jr. is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when defending fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.2 free throws per game (21st percentile).

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