Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has converted 60.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Caleb Martin has averaged 29.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Indiana is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Pacers are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (45.1%).
The matchup vs. Aaron Nesmith is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when guarding fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a mere 4.8 3-point shots per game (90th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.

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