Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has attempted 8.4 shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.4 mark last year.
Caleb Martin has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Caleb Martin has tallied 30.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase opportunities for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against the Hornets is a hard one; they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to opposing squads this year (118.6).
The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 5th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.3).

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