Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Caleb Martin has sunk 2.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games while playing away from home (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have put up the 4th-lowest three rate in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (36.6%).
The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.

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