Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has sunk 55.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 18.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Mavericks have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a mere 24.8 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the league).
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

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