Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Jan 18, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has converted 48.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 12.1% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league this year without the home court advantage in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The Pelicans have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year with the home court advantage (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 22.3 foul shots per game at home this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (80th percentile).
The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one for 3-point attempts; their opposition have averaged the 7th-least three attempts per game in the league this year while at home (36.5).
The Miami Heat rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Caleb Martin will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production for all stats.

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