Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 6/9/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 9, 2023

Updated Jun 9, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has successfully made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this season at home.
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.0).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
On the road, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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