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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.

Caleb Martin has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 8th-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (3.7).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance across the board.

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