Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+134/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +136 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has attempted 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for a whopping 28.5 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 20.1 minutes per game last season.
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
The matchup against the Knicks is a challenging one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (2.8).
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).