Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +176 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has averaged a terrific 29.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 20.1 minutes per game last year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has failed to make 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season.
Caleb Martin has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this year at home.
The Miami Heat have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup against Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a difficult one for three-point shots; when squaring off against fellow starting SGs this year, they have tallied a measly 1.6 threes per game (3rd percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

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