Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has converted 46.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 10.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
Caleb Martin has played 29.4 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.
Caleb Martin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Magic have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (28.5%).

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