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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Assists
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Caleb Martin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has averaged 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

Caleb Martin has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Caleb Martin will likely see an increase in productivity for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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