Caleb Martin Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 11, 2023 11:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+146/-192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has averaged 2.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for an impressive 28.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 20.1 minutes per game last year.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.
Caleb Martin will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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