Caleb Martin Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has averaged 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Wizards have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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