Caleb Martin Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:00 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+158/-208).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -204 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -208.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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