Caleb Martin Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:17 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has averaged 2.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Raptors have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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