Buddy Hield Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Buddy Hield Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has posted a measly 2.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.2 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Buddy Hield has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this season at home.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Buddy Hield will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board considering playing away from hom in this contest.

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