Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 18, 2023

Updated Mar 18, 2023 12:51 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has successfully made 9.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's converted overall this year with the home court advantage.
Buddy Hield has averaged 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (82nd percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against the 76ers is a hard one; they have given up the 6th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (15.0).
The matchup against Matisse Thybulle is a challenging one for three-point shots; when guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have made a mere 29.6% of their three-pointers (15th percentile).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.

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