Bryce McGowens Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Bryce McGowens

NBA · Player Props

Bryce McGowens

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

Bryce McGowens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted 19.0 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, branding this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Hornets.
Bryce McGowens has sunk 83.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 7.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, easily managing to draw fouls.
Bryce McGowens stands to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Bryce McGowens has converted 26.1% of his three-pointers this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the league.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets grade out 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Pacers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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