Bryce McGowens Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

NBA · Player Props

Bryce McGowens

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Bryce McGowens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bryce McGowens has successfully made 58.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on the road.
Bryce McGowens has made 43.9% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 11.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season away from home.
The matchup against Denver is a favorable one; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 9thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Denver may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Bryce McGowens has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Hornets have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hornets.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hornets.
The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).