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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has converted 50.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.

The Raptors are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Among all players in the league, Bruce Brown comes in at the 89th percentile for foul-shot ability with a terrific 87.7% rate this year.

Bruce Brown will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on field goals (weakest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a difficult matchup.

The Raptors have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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