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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Raptors.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 11thbest in in the league at home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

The San Antonio Spurs have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have attempted 18.5 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Bruce Brown will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Bruce Brown lands in the 25th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a a subpar 27.1% rate this year.

Bruce Brown has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (81st percentile).

The Raptors check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have averaged 40.3% on threes (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Spurs, making this a favorable matchup.

The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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