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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 75th percentile.

The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.

The fastest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Pacers.

In comparison to last year's 75.7% clip, Bruce Brown's free-throw ability has surged this year to 83.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has successfully made just 10.7% of his 3-point shots this year, a sizeable decrease from his 30.9 rate last year.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.3 3-point attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a difficult matchup.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Playing at home, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown should suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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