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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to offense, the Indiana Pacers's superb 127.9 points per game when playing away from home ranks highest in the league this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.

The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

Bruce Brown has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has successfully made a lowly 6.7% of his three-point shots this season, a significant dropoff from his 30.9 rate last season.

Bruce Brown has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 13.3 points per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive production.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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