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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has successfully made 60.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 21.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Bruce Brown will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (16.3).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, averaging just 22.3 foul shots per game.

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