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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has converted 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while on his home court.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Bruce Brown will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raises player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Miami is a difficult one; when the Heat are the visiting team, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.2).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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