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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has successfully made 57.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 24.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Bruce Brown will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Miami is a difficult one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.0).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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