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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 5/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has sunk 52.1% of his treys over the last 5 games, 21.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a challenging one for three-pointers; their opposition have put up the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.2%).

The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has successfully made 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.2 higher than he's made over the course of the year while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.

The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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