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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Suns is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.4%).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has attempted 4.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Suns are away from home (30th-most in the league).

Bruce Brown will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.

The Suns have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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