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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has attempted 3.2 threes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 mark last year.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (108.4).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 21.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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