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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has scored 16.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's scored over the course of the year.

Bruce Brown has successfully made 39.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the 9th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (110.2).

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 22.3 free throws per game.

This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a whopping 25.8 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

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