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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has sunk a terrific 1.2 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.6 rate last season.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

Bruce Brown has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

The matchup against the Suns is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.1 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 13th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (42.2%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

While playing at home, the Suns have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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