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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Bruce Brown will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raises player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

This matchup is a positive one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (36.8).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

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