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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Bruce Brown has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup against Gabe Vincent is a difficult one; he has allowed just 14.2 points per game while playing at home when guarding opposing starting PGs this year (4th percentile).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Gabe Vincent is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Vincent is on his home court and defending opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game (15th percentile).

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