Bruce Brown Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Bruce Brown

NBA · Player Props

Bruce Brown

G-F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bruce Brown has attempted 11.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Bruce Brown has converted 51.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.4% more than he's made in all games this season.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court (which also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The 76ers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (7.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a mere 27.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing at home (6th-least in the league).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home.
The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the 76ers.
Bruce Brown will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production across the board.

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