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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Bruce Brown Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -235.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has successfully made 60.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 21.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court.

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

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