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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Assists
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Bruce Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+142/-176).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -176.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has put up 3.0 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 77th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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