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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/23/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-112/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has averaged 4.2 defensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch: 83rd percentile.

Brook Lopez has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Brook Lopez should see an increase in effectiveness for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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