Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has averaged a lowly 5.1 rebounds per game this season, quite a bit less than his 6.7 rebounds per game last season.
Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will likely suffer a drop-off in production across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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