Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has tallied 31.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has totaled a mere 5.4 rebounds per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 6.7 rebounds per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez lands in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.3 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Brook Lopez stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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