Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has averaged 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch.
Among all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.5 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Bucks.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
While at home, the Cavaliers have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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