Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bucks.
While playing away from home, the 76ers have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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