Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+122/-159).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
Brook Lopez has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (79th percentile).
The Bucks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
Brook Lopez will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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