Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-199/+143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a good one; he has given up a monstrous 21.8 points per game when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The matchup with Jakob Poeltl in terms of getting to the charity stripe rates in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a colossal 6.2 free throws per game this year.
Brook Lopez ought to see a spike in production in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has successfully made 37.2% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Compared to last season's 34.4% rate, Brook Lopez's three-point prowess has declined this season to 23.2%.
The 5th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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