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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage since the start of last season.
  • The Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should boost possessions for the Bucks.
  • Brook Lopez will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has sunk a measly 1.2 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 1.9 rate last season.
  • Brook Lopez has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The showdown with Al Horford lands in the 6th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs posting a mere 7.5 points per game this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • In comparison to last season's 81.4% mark, Brook Lopez's foul-shot efficiency has diminished this season to 70.8%.

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