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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Bucks's outstanding 120.6 points per game places 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Brook Lopez has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 9.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Jonas Valanciunas has been very high this year (3.3 free throws per game when they are playing on the road: 93rd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 16.1 rate, Brook Lopez's points per game have dropped this year to 12.4.

Brook Lopez has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup against Jonas Valanciunas is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a measly 26.0% of their 3-point shots (7th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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