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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has made 51.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this season while on the road.

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.

Over the last 5 games, their opposition has averaged 30.4% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The number of shot attempts from the field against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (11.3 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Nikola Jokic has been quite low this year (2.3 foul shots per game when they are playing at home: 17th percentile).

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