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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brook Lopez has averaged 30.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league as the road team this year.
  • The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a good one for scoring; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 60.2% of their shots from the field (81st percentile).
  • The 2nd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has attempted and missed 3.3 3-point attempts per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 82nd percentile for misses on the road.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez lands in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the league while playing on the road with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • The showdown with Jarrett Allen in regard to getting to the free-throw line measures in the 8th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting just 2.1 free throws per game this year when they are away from home.

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