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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has made 66.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 17.3% higher than he's made in all games this year at home.

Brook Lopez has successfully made a terrific 2.6 threes per game this year, significantly more than his 1.6 rate last year.

The Bucks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have notched 18.4 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last year.

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

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