Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has attempted a measly 8.9 field goals per game this year, quite a bit less than his 11.6 mark last year.
Brook Lopez has successfully made a measly 21.2% of his 3-point shots this season, a sizeable decrease from his 33.6 mark last season.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 37.5 three attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, creating a good matchup.
The matchup against Boston is a tough one; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting team, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (12.0).
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.

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